Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1073.429065 1214.756690 1370.798705 1556.392810 1771.795868 2014.720485 2310.546232
2025-10-05 881.161184 1075.354081 1309.485007 1614.883568 2006.118667 2495.075871 3159.606642
2025-10-12 765.127306 980.878757 1256.538924 1639.185870 2163.886532 2868.908267 3906.374194
2025-10-19 680.635836 907.284091 1210.599866 1653.433632 2295.703949 3212.793171 4657.449252
2025-10-26 615.563247 847.992495 1171.521844 1664.823845 2416.156845 3548.283457 5444.571480
2025-11-02 573.345219 813.708589 1160.477205 1710.780727 2588.037887 3978.876539 6450.045747
2025-11-09 532.795078 776.230149 1138.728495 1734.921903 2725.327161 4370.386186 7458.022329
2025-11-16 496.388074 740.459646 1114.474045 1750.026075 2846.767573 4749.419728 8511.095768
2025-11-23 465.741000 710.072642 1094.588094 1768.286052 2973.471303 5153.057964 9685.117435
2025-11-30 441.526355 687.239988 1083.866481 1799.517104 3125.232319 5622.554917 11082.062016
2025-12-07 405.608953 641.990890 1031.490432 1751.374260 3123.852505 5798.466408 11897.655844
2025-12-14 372.876115 599.245330 979.326762 1697.494316 3103.659153 5932.095882 12644.309737
2025-12-21 341.426279 556.879114 925.315419 1636.705737 3066.670163 6034.984156 13367.000990
2025-12-28 331.305526 550.581309 934.374610 1696.200563 3280.251192 6705.844775 15625.623145
2026-01-04 317.205851 535.952874 926.808237 1722.088711 3426.948482 7253.927019 17716.268963
2026-01-11 302.906965 519.730200 914.678747 1737.167015 3551.984327 7773.463015 19870.879141
2026-01-18 289.462497 503.961583 901.897193 1749.230445 3671.622447 8300.942329 22197.112662
2026-01-25 281.394623 497.538212 906.396956 1797.908842 3882.023923 9093.241930 25555.692347
2026-02-01 271.278999 486.401841 900.576585 1823.484546 4041.288718 9784.052744 28818.997231
2026-02-08 260.887647 473.932652 890.966001 1839.487934 4179.407441 10445.092592 32206.682598
2026-02-15 251.565726 462.866077 883.244901 1858.836728 4328.809033 11167.961383 36069.895906
2026-02-22 244.149218 455.045316 881.566390 1891.934366 4518.925749 12049.171183 40857.997577
2026-03-01 229.709995 432.031427 845.976776 1840.916446 4477.316747 12224.843057 42949.411279